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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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From: LindyBill12/12/2005 4:38:06 PM
   of 793843
 
How to Solve the Looming Oil Shortage
Strategy Page

December 12, 2005: The Revolutionary Guard has formed a special internal security assessment task force, probably because the ruling religious clique is afraid to trust the regular armed forces. The task force’s mission seems to be to consider vulnerabilities to terrorism, and perhaps evaluate the security of critical infrastructure in the event of more conventional attack.



Longer term, the clerics running Iran face even more serious problems. Iran is running out of oil, and oil revenue is expected to start shrinking in the 2020s. Moreover, the clerics urged Iranians to have many children for the last two decades, and this means that pensioners will go from 7 percent of the population now, to 30 percent in another forty years. Political reforms, to unleash economic growth, is not acceptable to the ruling clerics. But developing nuclear weapons, and seizing nearby Arab oil fields does appear to be a more palatable option, both economically and theologically.
strategypage.com
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