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Politics : GOPwinger Lies/Distortions/Omissions/Perversions of Truth

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From: geode001/20/2009 5:06:56 PM
1 Recommendation   of 173976
 
Global warming - what scientists really think
By Mike Swain on Jan 20, 09 01:35 PM in Environment

Just how certain are scientists about climate change?

With governments raising taxes. protestors blocking runways and Barack Obama beginning his presidency in the White House this is a crucial question.

A new survey has attempted to find out. Peter Doran, University of Illinois at Chicago, and former student Maggie Kendall Zimmerman polled an expert group of 3,146 earth scientists around the world.

They asked them nine questions of which two were key:

1. Have mean global temperatures risen compared to pre 1800s levels?

2 Has human activity been a significant factor in changing mean global temperatures?

The results were: About 90% of the experts agreed with the first question. And 82% with the second.

But there were interesting differences when the two researchers broke the results down to sub groups based on areas of expertise.

They found 97% of climatologists agreed humans were playing a role in global warming. But only 47% of petroleum geologists and 64% of meteorologists.

The figure for oil explorers is not that surprising but meteorologists are perhaps surprisingly sceptical. They study short-term weather patterns rather than long term influences.

Doran, who has published the results in the American Geophysical Union's Eos, thinks the take home message is that 'the more you know about the field of climate science the more likely you are to believe in global warming and humankind's contribution to it."

The two researchers also believe their research shows there is virtually no debate about whether global warming is happening and the role humankind is playing "among those who understand the nuances and scientific basis of long-term climate processes."

The challenge is to communicate the certainty the climatologists feel. Latest polls in America show only 41% of Americans blame humans for global warming while 44% think it's part of global trends.

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Obviously, 90% of Republikans are unable to read and comprehend anything other than orders in the form of talking points. Obviously the majority of petroleum geologists are only as good as who is paying them.
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