Vendors Eagerly Anticipate Lucrative, Emerging Market
By Peggy Albright
The year 2000 will be the year for point-to-multipoint wireless technologies. Local multipoint distribution services licensees in the United States, many still selecting technologies and vendors, will begin delivering high-bandwidth services to customers seeking that last mile of connectivity.
The technology offers a modular, build-as-your-revenue-grows approach that won't break the bank. Startup companies can more easily enter the market and quickly challenge incumbent carriers.
Rick Miskiman, vice president for strategic customer development at Newbridge Networks, said an initial investment typically requires less than a couple hundred thousand dollars. "It's a strategic decision, not a million-dollar decision," he added.
The LMDS market opportunity is huge. "We look at this as a marketplace that's going to be several billion dollars over the next three to five years," said Elizabeth Stites, director of communications at Netro Corp., considered the first vendor to market true point-to-multipoint technology. "We're looking at a 70 percent annual growth rate in this area."
With a buildout curve as steep as experts are predicting, however, the availability of equipment on demand could be a constraining factor.
A case in point is radios, according to Miskiman, whose company has adopted a radio-independent architecture to ensure the flexibility to work in any frequency band and to serve carriers offering multichannel multipoint distribution services as well.
While there are probably a good dozen or so radio manufacturers available to LMDS vendors, Miskiman said, the industry is still transitioning to serve this market and has not yet reached the stage where quality radios can be manufactured in the volumes required to achieve the price points needed by the market.
The upshot? While LMDS vendors have the capability to deploy these modular systems faster and at lower cost than wireline, radios cannot be obtained overnight for companies that decide to accelerate their buildout schedule in mid-stream--a potential problem for vendors that have specified availability of equipment in their bids.
Vendors serving the LMDS market can be categorized in two groups: systems integrators and broadband wireless access technology developers.
Systems integrators offer one-stop shopping for end-to-end services that will set up broadband equipment on a customer's premises, ensure high-speed wireline connections all the way to the end-user and back to the telephone carrier's central office. In contrast, developers serve large telecommunications companies that need additional access to local markets as well as systems integrators serving the operator community.
How is the vendor landscape shaping up?
Systems integrator Newbridge Networks has five domestic contracts and another five in international markets. Newbridge has built its product line in part with Stanford Telecommunications wireless access equipment and is now in the process of acquiring that company. Newbridge's international contracts include Canadian carrier MaxLink
Communications, Inc. which has a national license to serve Toronto, Ottawa, Montreal and Calgary.
Lucent Technologies has an LMDS product called OnDemand. This portfolio of services integrates point-to-multipoint equipment that Lucent has obtained under an original equipment manufacturing agreement with San Jose, Calif.-based Netro. Lucent has not yet announced contracts in this country, but is deploying OnDemand equipment for COMSAT Peru.
It has announced an agreement with Bellevue, Wash.-based Advanced Radio Telecom Corp. to build a network in Oslo, Norway, for a pilot program that will use asynchronous transfer mode as well as Internet protocol.
Nortel Networks refers to its portfolio of LMDS services as its Reunion platform. This company has had something of a head start deploying broadband services in this country--it supplies equipment and network integration services to pre-LMDS-auction broadband licensee Teligent, which has exclusive use of the 24 MHz band. Nortel has yet to announce contracts to LMDS A- or B-Block licensees in this country.
Broadband wireless access technology vendors--those developing the equipment and partnering with channel providers to integrate their equipment into full network systems--include companies offering current access approaches.
Netro Corp., claims more than a dozen deployments around the world, partnering with systems integrators Lucent Technologies and Siemens. Netro differentiates itself from other BWA providers, in part, by its patented media access layer, called CellMAC, which allows the technology to dynamically allocate bandwidth to subscribers.
Two startups in this business, Wavtrace Inc. and Ensemble, are targeting U.S. B-block carriers with next-generation technologies designed to maximize spectral efficiency for these carriers' 75- megahertz allocations, while also marketing to A-Block and international licensees. Their systems also provide dynamic allocation of bandwidth, through a different approach than Netro's.
A chunk of business awaits the company tapped by Craig McCaw's NextLink Communiations Inc., which owns most of the LMDS licenses in the top U.S. markets. Predictably, NextLink--whose decisions could shape the LMDS vendor landscape--is not tipping its hand.
If NETRO get's tapped by Nextlink... KATY bar the Door!
wirelessweek.com |