A local Internet system in Fallon, Nevada, the home of the Fallon NAS "Top Gun" fighter training facility, a high value military installation, was hacked into from Brazil. It could be the Chinese, who have a strong presence in Brazil were trying to see if they could penetrate or disrupt the local military base.
President Bush and certain Congressmen will attempt to ram through congress 245(i) passage of which would amnesty 11 million illegal aliens. These lawbreakers would be given legal resident status without adequate background or health checks. Write your congressmen and Senators and tell them to reject any amnesty bill, regularization or guest worker bills. We shouldn’t reward these people for their illegal behavior and we don’t want to pay their bills. We want a total moratorium on mass immigration by sponsoring and voting for HR 2712, the Mass immigration Reduction Act of 2001, with an amendment enacting al all-inclusive immigration ceiling of 100,000 per year for five years.
The Justice Department and the IRS are close to an agreement with American Express to turn over records from customers who pay their bills through banks in the Bahamas, the Cayman Islands and other tax havens. MasterCard is also in negotiations. For the Bush administration, the credit card crackdown serves a purpose beyond increasing revenue without raising taxes.
According to Daniel Hopsicker (www.madcowprod.com), a former investigative reporter for NBC, the Venice Florida based flight school at Huffman Aviation, which trained two of the suspected 9/11 hijacker pilots has links to a company called Britannia Aviation, suspected of being a CIA operation.
As we predicted full-scale warfare is about to break out between the nation’s banking and real estate cartels. The question faced by the FED and the US Treasury is whether real estate brokerage and management are financial services, which are in nature or incidental to financial activities? The banks are ready to move in and begin the slaughter and the real estate industry is trying to get Congress to block the FED’s rulemaking authority. Legislation introduced into the House would effectively separate banking and commerce undermining the FED’s effort to expand banking powers. Needless to say, allowing banks’ to monopolize real estate would deeply harm consumers. As far as we are concerned the FED does not have the power to let bankers into real estate. The exercise shows you how unbelievably greedy bankers are.
What goes around comes around and George W. Bush is going to find that out in spades. He is totally out of control and he has made America the ultimate rogue nation. Terrorism has become a pretext for bombing anyone who disagrees in George’s elitist programs. As president of the US he has assumed what amounts to dictatorial power. He has dismissed the principles of law and the rules of evidence that undergrid America’s system of justice. He has created power to seize and circumvent the courts and has set up his own tribunals, panels of officers who sit in judgment of non-citizens, who the president claims are terrorists, thus depriving them of their rights under the Geneva Convention. That is why when our men were captured in Afghanistan they were brutally murdered. Under George’s code there are no prisoners of war and that may well cost him his own life. George is a bloodthirsty megalomaniac who prefers bombing entire populations into submission rather than tackling terrorists’ root causes. But, he can’t go to root causes. What will he tell them? I’m here so transnational oil companies can steal your oil and gas and to make sure the CIA distributes your heroin? We’ve traded a pervert for a half-wit nut case.
We are not at all surprised that Rep. Henry Waxman (D.Ca), the ranking Democrat on the House Committee on Government Reform, expressed outrage that Prince Charles had accepted $1 million from Enron. Either Henry is out of the loop, and not an elitist, or he is preparing a stage show he knows will never take place. It is laughable to think Price Charles would appear even having been subpoenaed. Despite the political posturing it is evident Mr. Lay was displaying servitude to one of the major world conspirators, who was well schooled by his father Phil the Greek, as he is best known in Britain.
Never before has a nation such as the US been called upon to lead the world out of recession with a current account deficit of over 4% of GDP. If America is again to be the engine of recovery then this massive deficit can only get larger and more unsustainable. Statistically most indicators, whether doctored or not, point to a recovery of some kind. Most of that recovery, we may add, has already been discounted in the stock market. Before the investing world runs off half-cocked we should point out why we haven’t covered our shorts. Business has been very good in January, but a very important factor was the warmest January in 106 years, which allowed unusual economic activity. This is a real statistics’ bender. As an example, the actual data for home sales fell in January. Due to January’s good unseasonable weather and the fall off in December due to normal weather and the 9/11 effect, terrible distortion took place in the numbers. This, of course, was accompanied by a barrage of propaganda off of Madison Avenue, Wall Street and off the Beltway. Over the past few months’ results out of Asia have been improving, but they are mixed. China and India had excellent growth because their slave labor is the cheapest, but the remainder was dreadful. The debt overhang in the US is so monstrous that no sustained recovery can be achieved. The structural excesses of the 1990s have still not been purged. The three remaining bubbles, debt, real estate and derivatives are still in place. The key again, of course, is the consumer. Will he or she continue to incur more debt to pull the world economy out of recession? We don’t think so. What keeps America afloat is not foreign direct investment and that has stopped dead in its tracks, off some 83%. Can foreigners keep taking our bonds? Their purchases cover 90% of our current account deficit. When the dollar goes down this will all end, as foreigners decouple from the dollar. The recovery will be anemic and brief, the dollar will fall and we will resume recession, which could well become depression.
Analysts predict that earnings for the S&P 500 will be up 17% this year. Since 9/11 the S&P is up 21%, the Dow 28% and Nasdaq 36%. For 2002 the Dow is up 5% and S&P 1.5%. The vastly overpriced markets are going to have to deal with higher interest rates. It was but a few weeks ago we predicted the 10-year Treasury at 5.5% by yearend. It is already up to 5.33% and the 30-year is 5.71%. We see that at 6%. We may be very conservative. The FED hasn’t even raised rates yet. Taking all into consideration the market, particularly the S&P, is discounting 35% increases in earnings. Whatever the gains they have already been discounted. This bear market rally has been far stronger than we anticipated due to persistent low interest rates and a $2 trillion infusion into the economy by the FED, Fannie and Freddie. In addition, it is hard to find a bear anywhere and from a contrarian point of view that is delicious. The trailing S&P price earnings ratio is 41 and the 25-year average is 17.1% and longer-term average is 14.5%. Besides S&P earnings will not be $52.57 this year. Try $40.00. This puts the P/E overvaluation at 17% and yield valuation even higher. This means by Wall Street’s own figures the Dow should be selling at 8,450. If you use our projections the figures for indexes would be considerably lower. Not only is the market going sharply lower again, but also it will achieve new lows. Thus, all those shorts we released short should be re-shorted. This is a sucker rally. |