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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum

GLD 368.12

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Oct 31 5:00 PM EST

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To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (159366)	6/21/2020 9:39:06 PM
From: arun gera	Read Replies (1) of 217518

>Let's see Tulsa fallout if any .. a litmus test :)> Thats too small a sample. We have two trends going on. The infection is steadily spreading within US, even in areas that seemed to have escaped it. The death counts per million population are also increasing but not as crazily as NY/NJ/CT area which accounts for 40-45% of deaths so far. Maybe the worst strain of Covid is history and has mutated to less deadly version. The other trend. There seems to be some exhaustion of Covid spread in areas which were hit harder earlier such as I-95 corridor from Boston to DC. So the decrease in deaths there is hiding increases elsewhere. When death rate per million reaches about 150 in a state, there is a rapid increase in deaths around that time. 250 arrives quite quickly. Here is an illustration from Michigan. https://www.clickondetroit.com/news/local/2020/05/16/tracking-michigan-covid-19-hospitalization-data-trends/ When a state reaches about 500 deaths per million, the denial is gone. People actually know acquaintances who have been hospitalized or died from Covid. And hospital systems have seen some strain but the worst is over. Deaths still continue though at a progressively lower rate. If this trend is typical, the next states to see rapid increases in deaths over the next 3 weeks are likely include Florida and California, two populous states. There is less denial in Michigan and soon in Pennsylvania. Florida is still a month or two away. Oklahoma is about 2-3 months away. -Arun

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