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Non-Tech : Delta Air Lines, Inc. (NYSE: DAL)
DAL 58.51+2.0%Nov 3 3:59 PM EST

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To: epicure who wrote ()8/10/1998 4:06:00 PM
From: Larry Voyles  Read Replies (1) of 82
 
Since there's been nothing on this thread for a while, I thought I would fill up the dead air with, well.. words.

First, I am a DAL employee. I have no holdings (long or short) in DAL at the moment. I have been both long and short in DAL in the past as I saw fit. Contrary opinions are invited, as it won't hurt my feelings.

DAL seems to have leveled out over the past few days. It's been hanging out in the 116-120 range and is below the 50- and 100-day MA. They're also poised right above the bottom Bolinger Bands, for those of you TA folks that care. I've drawn up some really ugly charts and based on a stand-alone analysis of the DAL chart, I would hazard a wild-ass guess that we're in for a consolidation, followed by a brief move upwards.

DAL doesn't seem to have broken as hard percentage-wise as UAL or AMR since mid-July, but hasn't prospered quite as well as LUV over the past few weeks. I guess that this could have been predicted based on a TA of things, as DAL has been riding the rim of the upper Bolinger Band for a while before the big "break", and indeed jumped definitively outside the upper band two days prior to the "big break".

I'll be watching DAL during the first half of this week to try and get a feel for which way it will break out of this "consolidation phase". The trend is still down, overall. I note with interest that AMR and UAL have both leveled out somewhat. What worries me is LUV breaking downwards in what strongly resembles a dead-cat bounce. Although LUV seems to play by different rules, it was tracking the other three closely prior to the "big break".

Opinions?
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