That was a really intelligent and good post about how you feel and where you are. I sincerely compliment you for that insight to your position.
The best that I think I can do in answering you is probably no different than what some of the others have said. It's your decision and with TSIG's past performance you have to make your own judgements.
But I also think there might be an added proviso or two; Usually there is the 3 day rule on a stocks hot performance as it relates to news. It will usually go up prior to actual announcement and then on the day of the news will usually sell off from those that got in on the rumor. PRFM's sight's opening date is already known and I would suggest that this mornings gap up, if there is one, will be short lived and those that buy on the open will only watch their mornings buy-in share price erode into yesterdays numbers. Maybe not. There may be more here than meets the eye, and as I said to you yesterday Ilya and his brother Roman are sharp cookies, but if history repeats itself... well 'nuf said.
On the other hand take a look at this chart. I know it's a reach to compare Dell with TSIG with the known givens, but just think back to when those investors who had stayed with this tiny upstart through 2 or 3 YEARS and finally said "time to try something else for awhile, this Dell is going nowhere". Just let's put ourselves in their shoes... let's say around Christmas of '97 and consider that they were there for the previous 1, 2 or 3 years. Then they wake up one morning to find that they missed a $2 or $3 move up off $16, from a falling $22, and say ah I missed it and stayed out because they were now waiting for it to settle back to $16. Just try to anticipate what you would have done not knowing what tomorrow would bring with Dell's performance. Would you have been waiting for it to fall back or would you have jumped on for one of the wildest rides of the decade.
bigcharts.com
Just see if you can put yourself in their shoes for the moment. Now I'm not saying tomorrow will be TSIG's day, it may never come, and then again, well... here's where you have to do the critical thinking.
For a 23 year old kid with your clear sense of self as demonstrated by your very rational and very open post I for one have great faith that you will do what's best for you.
Good luck whatever the outcome,
sword |
