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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing
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To: Paul Senior who wrote (16366)2/6/2003 1:56:16 AM
From: Spekulatius   of 78670
 
<< Spekulatius, it appears to me that very few people here or anywhere else hold on to their stock picks for as many as ten years. Giving up too soon, now imo, THAT is one of the big risk factors! >>
I doubt that I hold the stocks in my portfolio for 10 years. However, when looking at valuation, only long term models make sense of course, so 10 years is as good as anything.
FWI:
NPV for MRO is 24.34$ (5% growth for dividends and earnings, PE=13 after 10 years)

NPV for PFE is 40.26$ (12 % growth and PE=16 after ten years)

All based on 8% discount rate for dividends and stock sales after 10 years...
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