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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: carranza2 who wrote (16373)11/16/2003 3:06:15 PM
From: LindyBill   of 793843
 
Here is a good analysis of the Jindal loss. Blanco got inside Bobby's "Time Cycle" and was able to pull off an attack that he was not able to answer immediately. Classic good political process on Blanco's part. Inexperience on Bobby's part. If he had hired a top manager, as Arnold did, this would not have happened to him. "Real Clear Politics."

LOUISIANA: The early take on the election is it looks like Blanco timed her attack ads against Jindal perfectly. This election for weeks had been praised as a "clean" election with little to no negative advertising by both sides. However, in the last week Blanco and the Democrats blanketed the state with ads attacking Jindal hard.

In mailers and on television, Blanco criticized Jindal’s Department of Health and Hospitals record, claiming he put money before people. One prominent ad featured the former head of a state physicians’ group saying Jindal canceled programs, such as “Needy Children.” Another ad noted that Jindal took a $24,000 raise soon after he laid off 200 Department of Health and Hospitals employees.

Had Blanco run these ads earlier Jindal's campaign would have had time to rebut the attacks and go on the offensive themselves, but by timing the broad negative attack for the last week Blanco was able to time her momentum to peak perfectly, while at the same time allowing Jindal no time to react.

We were obliviously aware that Blanco had picked up some serious momentum, but we thought the final tracking numbers from Friday showing Jindal ahead by four was an indication that he had stopped her momentum in time and had built a big enough lead to hold on. We were wrong.

Had this election been run three days earlier or a week later Jindal probably would have won. Again this is an early take, but it looks like Blanco's campaign outstrategized the Jindal campaign and that was the difference.
realclearpolitics.com
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