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Politics : Just the Facts, Ma'am: A Compendium of Liberal Fiction
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To: Orcastraiter who wrote (16661)9/16/2004 1:39:00 PM
From: Alan Smithee  Read Replies (1) of 90947
 
I don't think that anyone can say for certain that they are fakes or real. So I am in the camp of not believing either way...as I have stated before. There does appear to be evidence supporting both sides. That said, I missed the interview with the typist last nite...so I might not have the latest scoop either.

You're setting the bar too high.

Certainty is not required, as we are dealing with probabilities here.

If this were a civil court case, a preponderance of the evidence would be sufficient. That would be that the evidence suggests by a margin of 50.01% that the documents are fake.

I saw that one document expert put the figure at above 90% probability the documents are forged. That high a percentage would satisfy an even more stringent burden of proof - the clear, cogent and convincing standard.

Hell, it might even get there for the "beyond a reasonable doubt" standard imposed under criminal law.

The best proof of fraud, IMO, is not what the bloggers and document experts have come up with, but is the inability of CBS and Dan Rather to come up with evidence that the documents are authentic. I have seen nothing to suggest they are, except for CBS's lame comment that there was equipment in existence in 1972 that could have created these documents.

So? Did the Texas Air National Guard have such equipment?

I doubt it.
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