| Factory Orders Fall 2.3 Percent 
 May 26, 1999
 
 Filed at 10:59 a.m. EDT
 
 By The Associated Press
 
 WASHINGTON (AP) -- Orders to U.S. factories for
 big-ticket manufactured goods fell a sharp 2.3
 percent in April, the second drop in the past three
 months, led by a steep decline in demand for autos
 and other transportation equipment.
 
 The Commerce Department said today that orders for
 durable goods, items expected to last three or more
 years, declined by $4.5 billion last month to a
 seasonally adjusted $194.4 billion.
 
 The 2.3 percent decline followed a solid 2.7 percent
 increase in March and was the biggest setback since a
 3.9 percent fall in February.
 
 The big drop off caught analysts by surprise. They
 had been expecting a 0.4 percent gain in durable
 goods orders for April, reflecting strength in the
 overall economy.
 
 The stock market, which had suffered four straight
 losing sessions over growing concerns that the U.S.
 economy might be overheating and causing inflation
 to rise, viewed today's decline in factory orders as a
 welcome sign of a slowing economy.
 
 ''The fundamental message of these numbers is that
 the economy is undergoing a mild slowdown,'' said
 economist Jerry Jasinowski, president of the
 National Association of Manufacturers. ''The
 economy is coasting to a more sustainable pace
 following two quarters of unusually strong growth.''
 
 Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin cautioned against
 reading too much into any one economic report. ''I
 continue to think that our most likely track is what I
 have said many times before, low inflation and solid
 growth,'' he told reporters at Treasury.
 
 Despite the fact that a global currency crisis has
 pushed one-third of the world into recession, the
 U.S. economy has been forging ahead, bolstered by
 the lowest unemployment rates in three decades and
 strong consumer spending in such areas as housing.
 
 However, American manufacturers and farmers have
 been battered by the global trouble as they have
 suffered steep declines in their exports that have sent
 the U.S. trade deficit to record levels.
 
 The loss of export markets and increased
 competition from lower-priced imports has
 contributed to a drop of more than 400,000 jobs in
 manufacturing over the last year.
 
 One of the industries suffering the most has been
 steel, which has seen a flood of cheap imports from
 countries such as Japan. But in today's report, the
 government offered a glimmer of hope that the worst
 may be over.
 
 Primary metals, the sector which includes steel, saw
 orders increase by 1.3 percent in April following a
 0.6 percent decline in March.
 
 Overall, the 2.3 percent April drop in durable goods
 orders was led by a sharp 12.4 percent fall in demand
 in the transportation sector, which the government
 said included decreases in all components including
 autos and aircraft.
 
 Excluding the big drop in the transportation, orders
 would have risen by 0.9 percent. That compared to a
 2 percent increase excluding transportation in March.
 
 Orders for industrial machinery rose by 3.5 percent
 in April, the fourth increase in this sector in the past
 six months.
 
 Orders for electronic and other electrical equipment
 were down 0.7 percent in April following a big 4.5
 percent March increase.
 
 Shipments of big-ticket durable goods, a good sign
 of current demand, were down 0.6 percent in April
 after having risen 1.9 percent the previous month.
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