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Strategies & Market Trends : Making Money is Main Objective

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To: Softechie who started this subject	12/5/2001 3:14:03 AM
From: Softechie	of 2155

SUGGESTION by: svieiraexcite (32/M/Global) 12/04/01 05:58 pm Msg: 56970 of 56999 Dear Friend, DON'T BE FOOLED by the quick roll-up of Taliban forces or the market recovery since September 11th. The economic crisis is nowhere near over. And if you fall for the "buy the market now" malarkey, you could lose everything. LOOK, I'm not trying to scare you...but rather prepare you for possibilities that are very real. I believe it's simply too dangerous today to invest like everything is "hunky-dory." Corporate earnings for 2001 are the worst we've seen since 1991. And the recent rally has pushed the market to a ridiculous Price/Earnings ratio again -- setting up unwary investors for a hard fall. Industrial production just fell for the 13th month in a row -- a record not seen since the Great Depression! Layoffs have crushed the labor market -- with the unemployment rate soaring to levels not seen in many years. Long-term interest rates are getting very scary. The ten-year bond is now pushing 5%. That ties the Fed's hands in terms of cutting short-term rates again. *What's more, long-term rates are signaling that the Fed has already gone too far in terms of "easy money." What does that mean? Inflation isn't dead, my friend. In fact, it could come roaring back sooner than anyone expects! Imagine the damage an inflation rate of just 4% could do when millions of retirees are stuck in 2% CDs! Think it can't happen? Government officials are talking of a final stimulus package approaching 500 billion! The surplus is gone. Bureaucrats are cooking up an everything-but-the-kitchen-sink stew of bailouts and economic blunders. That'll put us all in hot water! Tell me, do you really believe that stocks in general can mount a true, sustainable bull market with all the THE WORLD OF INVESTING is very, very different now. SO WHO AM I, and why should you listen to me?

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