If one compares where Bush is in the current race, compared to his position in the last race, it appears Kerry is in a very good position. In the middle of October, 2000, Gallup had Bush ahead 52% to 39%.
Even closer to the election, on October 22, 2000, they had him up by 9%:
Final presidential push starts in Texas for Bush and Gore
October 22, 2000
Web posted at: 9:39 p.m. EDT (0139 GMT)
AUSTIN, Texas -- Both the Republican and Democratic presidential nominees chose Texas on Sunday to be the launch pad for their final campaign efforts in the remaining 16 days of the race for the White House.
The Republican nominee, Texas Gov. George W. Bush, was in Austin to launch his "Brainstorm for Reform" tour with 28 other GOP governors. Vice President Al Gore, his Democratic rival, was in Dallas to begin a two-pronged endgame of wooing undecided voters and getting his backers to the polls.
Meanwhile, the latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll shows Bush is the current preference of 50 percent of likely voters, while Gore is the current preference of 41 percent. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.
Interviews with 700 likely voters were conducted from October 19 to 21. While the poll shows Bush maintaining a solid lead over Gore among likely voters, there is plenty of time left in which events can shift voters' current preferences.
cnn.com |
