America On-Line: will it survive ...? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...?

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (1820)	2/23/1997 4:36:00 PM
From: Kashish King	of 13594

There's no rhyme or reason why AOL can't hit $40 again because their is no rhyme or reason for its current valuation. The company represents nothing more than a financial black hole which doesn't have a clear grip on the train that's on the same track, running full speed, and heading in the opposite direction. That train is nothing less than every major computer software and hardware company currently doing business on the planet. They don't give a rat's ass about content. They are delivering high bandwidth communications infrastructure and computer software which will allow everybody to become a powerful point of presence on the Internet and develop their own information content, as they see fit! The people who develop the content (research, entertainment, news, et cetera) and the interactive computer programs which interface with that content, will be doing so using standard development tools either themselves or using one of the hundreds of thousands of Internet site development shops which are already starting to mushroom. AOL will survive as a super-site organizing the Internet into managable pieces. There will be hundreds if not thousands of such services. Users can select their physical connection provider and them subscribe to any number of services or super-sites, as they see fit! The only people who could possibly make any sense out of AOL will be devout communists or those who really don't think we need cable television because we already have three networks controlling what we see and when we see it. Ask yourself: 1. Should AOL be involved in setting up proprietary physical networks as it is currently doing? Shouldn't they be physically neutral? 2. Should AOL be competing with software giants the world over by developing its own proprietary software on both ends of the wire? Shouldn't they be software neutral? 3. Does it make sense that only AOL can organize and develop the information which end users see? Shouldn't corporations, institutions and individuals be able to do this themselves? AOL will only survive as a value-added, super-site competing with several hundred if not thousands of other such services. When the carpet bombing stops and AOL has traded the next generation of Internet users, the company will finally have to throw in the sponge. The final blow to the head will be Java, they are already light-years behind in technology and a few hand-crafted sites which only they can build and which can only be seen using their browsers will be nothing but a burden.

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