MARKET TALK: Level 3 Restructuring 'Unavoidable'?
06 Feb 09:55
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 9:54 (Dow Jones) UBS telecom bond analysts say Level 3 Communications (LVLT) "could prove to be the last of the domestic high-yield long-haul carriers to announce a formal restructuring, which we believe may be an unavoidable event." They recommend an "underweight" position in Level 3 bond and bank debt. Shares up 1.5% at $2.50. (JD) 9:46 (Dow Jones) Viacom (VIA) is "a tarnished and under-appreciated gem," says Merrill Lynch, which makes the stock a Focus 1 selection. Merrill acknowledges the tough year-ago 1Q comparisons; however, it sees trends picking up the rest of the year. The firm adds that recent concerns - which are "more than discounted" in the stock - has less to do with fundamentals and more to do with asbestos, management feud and accounting scrutiny. The firm places a $60-$65 12-month price target on the stock, which is up 1.9% at $38.33. (GS) 9:36 (Dow Jones) With the approach of the Olympic Games and the resulting attention on winter sports, the skiing industry should be poised to glide into a great season. However, analysts say one well known player is only barely holding on, even following a recent asset sale. American Skiing's (SKI) recent sale of its resort in Steamboat Springs, Colo., for about $91.4 million "should get them through the year," according to Phelps Hoyt, a high yield bond analyst with Montpelier, Vt.-based KDP Investments. Hoyt says he's taking a wait-and-see attitude and has a hold rating on the company's 12% senior subordinated notes due 2006. "They'll start next year as a smaller company but with less debt, and hopefully with a better economy and normal snow...we'll see what happens then." (JM) 9:24 (Dow Jones) Procter & Gamble (PG) said in a filing with the SEC that it had no "material off-balance sheet arrangements or related party transactions" that have sent investors scurrying of late. P&G wasn't aware of factors likely to hurt its liquidity other than the risk factors it normally includes in its SEC filings. P&G did say in the filing it had a contingent purchase price provision associated with its previous acquisition of Dr. John's Spinbrush that it expects to settle during 2002. However, the company said the additional amount it will pay hasn't been decided yet and isn't expected to be material.
(CS) 9:13 (Dow Jones) Lehman analyst Daniel Niles expects Sun Microsystems' (SUNW) tone to be sober at its analyst meeting later Wednesday and Thursday. Niles says Sun will likely reiterate its goal for profits by June and a slight quarter over quarter revenue and gross margin increase for the March quarter.
According to the analyst, who has a market perform rating on Sun, there should be new product launches at the meeting, which could include low- and mid-range servers, and network based storage. The Wall Street Journal reports Wednesday that Sun will unveil a slew of new products involving computer storage Wednesday. (DLF) 9:07 (Dow Jones) ABN-Amro keeps add rating on FedEx (FDX), saying all three of company's major divisions are well positioned to benefit from pending economic turnaround. With Tuesday announcement of expansion of home delivery operations, ABN-Amro says the company can now cover 90% of the U.S. population.
(TG) 8:55 (Dow Jones) Good productivity numbers are boosting the buck Wednesday, while rotten jobs numbers harm the EUR, analysts say. EUR is $0.8634; USD/JPY is Y133.52; EUR/JPY is Y115.31. (JRH) 8:49 (Dow Jones) Morgan Stanley recently spoke with 10 major customers of Electronic Data (EDS), who indicated that EDS has improved its operational execution and client communications and has become better at identifying and recommending value-added outsourcing projects. Morgan Stanley is a little more positive on EDS' competitive position, but is still concerned about long-term cash flow generation. Keeps neutral rating. (TG) 8:41 (Dow Jones) The jump in 4Q productivity has helped prompt some light selling in Treasurys. It was as good an excuse as any to get an early start on preparations for the 10-year note auction, but stocks remain the wildcard for the bond market today. (SV) 8:37 (Dow Jones) With Lehman Brothers (LEH) employees heading back to formal attire, staffers at other investment banks are hoping their firms don't follow suit (no pun intended). Though some shops say they aren't scrapping their casualwear policies, follow-the-leader is a game Wall Street plays well. Will khakis become another casualty of the dot-com era? Gap (GPS) certainly hopes not. (CWM) 8:36 (Dow Jones) Nonfarm productivity rose by a strong 3.5%, reminiscent of the best quarters of the 1995-2000 productivity spurt. As a result, unit labor costs - compensation less productivity - fell by 1.1%. This negates any inflationary pressure if there had been any. More important, it opens some room for an increase in profitability. (JM) 8:30 (Dow Jones) Two disappointing sessions may pave the way for some firmness in stocks Wednesday. Pepsi (PEP) hits views, while someone at Cisco (CSCO) made a booboo that essentially forced the company this morning to say 2Q results, to be released in full after the close, topped expectations. Why not just release it all now, you ask? Probably too late to get the conference call arranged. More blues for the Emerald Isle - as shareholders there cope with the Elan (ELN) fallout, Allied Irish (AIB) is dealing with fraud, though the misdealing took place in the U.S. Stocks look flat now, as do Treasurys. (TG) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 02-06-02 09:55 AM |