MARKET TALK: Nothing Untoward In Inventories
08 Feb 10:05
Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 10:05 (Dow Jones) Wholesale inventories down 0.6% in December. This decline matches the fall in factory inventories. Unlikely to have much of an effect on 4Q GDP, if anything a slight upward revision. Suggests imports in Dec. were probably subdued. (JM) 9:57 (Dow Jones) USD/JPY at highs for day as worries about the upcoming G7 meeting and disappointment with Japan's inability to turn around the economy are leading the dollar higher, traders say. EUR is $0.8731, USD/JPY is Y134.54, EUR/JPY is Y117.50. (JRH) 9:46 (Dow Jones) Banc of America's Chris Crespi says ONI Systems (ONIS) is a survivor. The company has the balance sheet and product portfolio to make it through telecom downturn and drive revenue growth when carrier spending resumes. He says ONI is a pure play on the deployment and upgrade of metro networks, which is where he expects spending will recover first. However, Crespi cuts CY02 rev view to $165 million from $207.7 million and EPS view to loss of 69c from 58c. Shares up 9% at $4.90. (TG) 9:35 (Dow Jones) High-yield bond mutual funds reported an $80.7 million outflow during the week ended Feb. 6, according to market research firm AMG Data Services. (JD) 9:26 (Dow Jones) With several heavyweights seeking to spiff up service, this will be a very competitive year in fast-food, says Salomon Smith Barney analyst Mark Kalinowski. He tabs Wendy's International (WEN) as a potential winner, with Tricon Global (YUM) making strides. But Kalinowski says McDonald's (MCD) "could be challenged to keep pace, as benefits from its efforts to improve domestic operations may accrue more slowly than the Street would like to see." (RLG) 9:15 (Dow Jones) Prudential bumps up slightly Wal-Mart (WMT) 4Q, 2001, and 2002 EPS views after above-plan January comps. Says the above-plan trend could continue this year as Wal-Mart picks up share from Kmart (KM). Gross margins may also get a boost this year in a more benign pricing environment. Keeps buy rating, price target is $67. (TG) 9:05 (Dow Jones) Thomson Financial says 73 of the Nasdaq 100 companies have reported 4Q results. Earnings for these companies are down 43.1% from the 4Q a year ago, while earnings have exceeded analyst expectations by an average 23.5%. (TG) 8:56 (Dow Jones) Nowhere to hide in the equity mutual fund universe in the week ended Thursday. Alongside sliding stock prices, an average stock fund lost 4.2% during the week, expanding its year-to-date loss to 6.2%. Leading the decline were science & technology funds, down 9.4%, and telecommunications funds, down 8.9%. Gold-oriented funds were again the only shiny spot in the market, rising a whopping 9.32%. (YXH) 8:48 (Dow Jones) Merrill's long-term upgrade of Sun Micro (SUNW) based on strategic shifts at company. Three key changes: endorsement of Linux; plans to offer blade servers and a blade operating system; a de-emphasis of Solaris in favor of infrastructure software Sun ONE and N1. Merrill still cautious near-term, given selling and business model transitions. (TG) 8:42 (Dow Jones) AMAT reports 1Q Tuesday, and Lehman says that while the short-term order outlook may be encouraging, current valuations reflect too much optimism on rate of order recovery in CY02. Doesn't see meaningful reacceleration until late 2002/early 2003 due to excess capacity and continued weakness in end markets. Lehman stays cautious on the shares. (TG) 8:36 (Dow Jones) Phillips-Van Heusen's (PVH) shares "are more than 40% below their 52-week high of $18.74 and a terrific value for small cap-oriented investors," says Lehman Brothers, which upgrades the stock to buy. The firm raises its 4Q estimates on PVH, says the company has an attractive risk/reward ratio and sets a 12-month price target of $15. Lehman, which titled its report "Need A Dress Shirt For That Suit?", also may be seeing a run on button-down shirts as it returns to a formal dress policy next month. Shares closed Thursday at $10.43. (GS) 8:30 (Dow Jones) If we had an indicator that could project what stocks will do in the last hour of trading, we'd let you know. If the previous four sessions are any indication, stocks are going to finish weak. In fact, some Wall Street observers have noticed similarities between the recent trading environment and that of late September - relative strength in the S&P 500 vs.
Nasdaq, and the propensity for such action to take place as the weekend approaches. At the moment, though, things look slightly firmer. For what it's worth (investors seem to be dismissing encouraging economic revelations, anyway), wholesale inventories to be released a bit later. Goodyear (GT) misses, cutting lots of jobs. Treasurys falling. (TG) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 02-08-02 10:05 AM |