Intel Corporation (INTC) Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)

INTC 49.25

+0.9%

Feb 3 3:59 PM EST

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To: Paul Engel who wrote (1847)	6/14/1996 11:26:00 PM
From: james nguyen	of 186894

Paul, Thanks for your many informative posts in this forum. I should know better than getting involved in this, but isn't the growth rate from one year to the next year is computed by dividing the value for the 2nd year by the previous year? (of course, subtract 1 and multiply by 100 to get the percentage) Using the previously posted figures, the last column should be changed Year Sales Year/Year Year/Year Ratio Percentage Gain 1992 0 5844 1993 1 8782 1.5027 50.27% 1994 2 11521 1.3119 31.19% 1995 3 16202 1.4063 40.63% 1996 4 20000 1.2344 23.44% (est.) Total growth rate over 4 years = (20000/5844) = 3.4223 Average growth rate over 4 years = the 4th root of 3.4223 = 3.4223 ^ 0.25 = 1.3601 (or 36.01%) Projecting out at 36% Year 1997 27200 1998 36992 1999 50309 2000 68420 So that's 50 Billion in fiscal 1999. This is probably how the person who wrote the report came up with it. Most Intel stockholders would be happy with 30% going forward, which would project out to be about 44 Billions in fiscal 1999.

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