Larry, Here's another Reuter's report on yesterday's action:
LOS ANGELES, Sept 29 (Reuter) - Shares of Agouron Pharmaceuticals Inc fell sharply Monday as one analyst downgraded the stock amid new research suggesting the benefits of Agouron's AIDS drug may be limited.
But several AIDS experts and industry analysts were debating the conclusions to be drawn from the new research, and some said they saw nothing to suggest the outlook for Agouron was weakening.
Agouron shares were down 4-5/16 to 46-1/2. Agouron makes Viracept, one of several protease inhibitor drugs that have become widely used in the most aggressive AIDS treatments. Used in combination with other drugs, protease inhibitors have helped drive down the HIV virus to nondetectable levels in thousands of patients.
But research presented Monday at a medical conference in Toronto said this regimen does not work as often is is commonly believed. One study showed that more than half of all patients failed the treatment in "real world" conditions. Prior clinical studies had suggested a failure rate of only 10 to 20 percent. Montgomery Securities analyst David Crosson attended the conference in Toronto and downgraded Agouron to a hold from a buy. Crosson cited concerns that superior new drug treatments may emerge as competitive threats to protease inhibitors.
Unlike most other drug companies that make protease inhibitors, Agouron makes only one drug and is solely dependent on Viracept for its revenue.
Agouron's stock price has surged on the early success of Viracept, but Crosson noted its exclusive focus on this drug also makes it more vulnerable to competition from new AIDS treatments. An Agouron spokeswoman, however, vigorously objected to suggestions that any negative news had emerged from the conference. "Absolutely and positively not," she said. "Our sales will speak for themselves. The data coming out of the conference has been positive for our drug."
Jim McCamant, editor of the Medical Technology Stock Letter concurred. He said new data Agouron released on the safety and effectiveness of Viracept was "absolutely as positve as it could be." "Viracept is on its way to getting equal market share with Crixivan," the protease inhibitor made by Merck and Co Inc <MRK.N>, which now is the market leader.
Merck currently has 44 percent of the AIDS protease inhibitor market, compared with Agouron's 26 percent. But McCamant said Agouron's drug was emerging as a favorite for its easier dosing schedule and less severe side effects.
He added that the outlook "looks great" for all protease inhibitors, since the overall market still has room to grow.
Around 40 percent of all AIDS patients still are not using protease inhibitors. -Andrea Orr 213 380-2014.
16:32 09-29-97 |