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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND)
ASND 202.23-4.2%Dec 2 3:59 PM EST

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To: Glenn D. Rudolph who wrote (19329)10/27/1997 11:23:00 PM
From: sepku  Read Replies (1) of 61433
 
>>>I hope you are wrong because I am too heavily invested and will have to liquidate some positions if it takes that long.<<<

Sounds like you are in a similar situation I am in. I am about 95% margined out as well...just about as fully invested as you can get. I am anticipating another huge sell-off at the open, carrying through the rest of the day unless we get a key figure to take a positive stand on the US markets...and even then, I think any rally will be brief.

Perhaps Wednesday will be our salvation. I hear that Alan G. is supposed to speak. I believe there will be intense pressure for him to come to our aid and offer some reassuring words. I am confident that the Administration is hard at work to help rectify this unfortunate situation...after all, the booming market and economy is his trophy for both his terms, and he no doubt wishes for it to be his legacy when he leaves office. There is a hell of a lot of $ parked in bonds, treasuries, and cash, just waiting for the slaughter to end and the bottom to show itself. I bet we shall have a powerful rally this week.

Someone asked me about some stocks I was looking at. A few that stand out are: AMAT<30, INVX<26, MUEI<14, COMS<40, VOCLF<22, ATHM<20, COHU, ATML<26, VTSS<35.

But my favorite is CYMI at any price in the 25's and below. I just cannot get over this opportunity...I've only dreamt of picking up these shares at such low levels. The current global market crisis is the only thing holding CYMI down from surging following its awesome earnings and CC. So I'm planning to take drastic action tomorrow. Depending on the outlook for the markets, I'm considering on selling 4000 shares of ASND and taking the loss, followed up with a purchase of CYMI shares at an opportune moment during the day. This will relieve some pressure from my ASND position and tip the scales of port weight into Cymer's corner. The reasoning is simple: I believe it is a no-brainer that Cymer will be over 30 within November, regardless of where it sits in the 20s...it is hugely undervalued at the current 25 1/2. This situation with the Asian markets was unexpected (to me) and slowed down ASND's recovery. Even though I still believe Ascend will break 40 before year's end, I see the potential appreciation in CYMI as arriving far sooner and returning much more %-wise in the month of November. Cymer has a dominant monopolistic position, growing demand, positive atmosphere, and a product that the whole semi industry's future depends upon. Whereas ASND will attract value investors and bottom fishers, it will likely appreciate no where near as quickly as CYMI with such negativity surrounding it. I'm am more certain of Cymer than any other stock in the markets today...and I'm going to swing for the fences with it!

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