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Technology Stocks : Disk Drive Sector Discussion Forum
WDC 222.97+0.6%Jan 20 3:59 PM EST

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To: ET who wrote (1976)1/1/1998 1:53:00 PM
From: T Bowl   of 9256
 
New Year's resolution #2. Never Question the low PEs
of the DD sector again. FWIW, next time anyone says ANYTHING about the low PEs of the sector..
Here it is - Before and After this mess -
earnings expectations for the "next" FY:
Company/Start of Q/Current/Change(%)
STMD $0.45 ($0.06) ---
WDC $4.81 $1.05 -78
SEG $3.89 $1.69 -57
HTCH $3.14 $1.43 -54
RDRT $3.87 $2.61 -33
QNTM $3.23 $2.54 -21
VECO $2.45 $2.06 -16
IVAC $1.04 $0.94 -10
KMAG $1.25 $1.15 -8
INVX $2.66 $2.48 -7
HMTT $1.86 $1.76 -5
ZIGO $1.80 $1.80 0

Well. There you go. Before this turmoil was discovered
WDC was forecast to earn $1.05 in the DecQ97. Now they
are forecast to make $1.05 in 1999(for the whole year).
WDC may be an extreme case, but I sure bit into
the exuberance!

Are the ANALysts wrong? Who knows. But I resolve to
never question the low PEs again.

todd
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