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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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To: JohnM who wrote (19863)5/30/2006 6:40:07 AM
From: Lane3  Read Replies (1) of 541698
 
Rather that the present course is a near guaranteed disaster, just hard to predict how and when it occurs.

I understand that it's hard to predict how and when it occurs. I'll accept that uncertainty.

I also accept that the present course is problematic. But there are a couple of missing links between that and solution I'd prefer not to skip over.

One of the key things I've yet to hear from any of the gurus on this subject is how and when it graduates from "problematic" and gets to be called a disaster. "Disaster" is a hefty word that often gets used loosely. Is it a "disaster" in the sense that beach houses that have been in families for generations will be lost? Or is it a "disaster" in the sense of the extinction of humanity? That's a pretty big range. What level of change and/or pain constitutes a "disaster"? I'm not prepared to "get religion" until I know their threshold for "disaster." That is the key to making determinations about mitigation vs adaptation.

And, as I've been saying, I'm also not prepared to invest a lot if there's not a reasonable probability that the effort will fix the problem. If you were backed up against a surging army of ants, for example, and news reports said they'd be at your house in a matter of days, maybe a week, what would you do? Build a boat to escape across the ocean? Can you build an ocean going vessel with available materials in time? Not likely. So, do you start building the boat anyway? I don't think so. You'd use your remaining time more profitably.

In summary, I want to know what they mean by disaster and that they have a potentially feasible solution proportionate in cost to the degree of disaster. Still looking for that.

I wish they'd get past the awareness phase and on to solution options. The devout are stuck on trying to get more converts in the face of hardened skeptics. I think that's a distraction that has compromised efforts to move along to solving the problem. IMO.
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