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Strategies & Market Trends : Notes on the 1990 Nikkei Crash

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To: Jack Hartmann who wrote (1)4/23/2000 4:38:00 PM
From: Jack Hartmann  Read Replies (1) of 27
 
i do agree that P&F seems remarkably consistent in terms of predicted outcomes. i'm just pointing out that
circumstances may arise where that could change. to give you an example, when the Nikkei had it's big collapse in
1990, it really was oversold all the way down. and yet there was a period during which simply no bounces
whatsoever occurred. it just went down, almost every day (after the first bounce that followed the initial break). the
devilish thing was that it didnt really crash in the conventional sense...i.e., yes there were a few BIG down days as
well, but mostly it went like 1,5-2% down every day...like Chinese water torture.
i haven't seen what the Tokyo BP did during that time, but i bet you it was screaming oversold like everything else.
Message 13309895
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I remember the gradual erosion too.
Jack
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