You'll be swell! You'll be great!
Gonna have the whole world on the plate!
Starting here, starting now,
Rudy, everything's coming up roses!
Clear the decks! Clear the tracks!
You've got nothing to do but relax.
Blow a kiss. Take a bow.
Rudy, everything's coming up roses!
Poll: Giuliani Has Biggest Base of Support, Lowest Base of Opposition
March 15, 2007
If you're a fan of former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) you probably can't believe all the good news surrounding the Presidential hopeful. He leads the Republican Primary polls, has the highest favorability rating of all candidates, and leads every Democrat in general election match-ups.
Rasmussen Reports recently conducted a national telephone survey that yielded another good dose of polling data for "America's Mayor." When we asked Likely Voters if they would "definitely" vote for or against leading Presidential candidates, more voters said they would definitely vote for Giuliani than against. The opposite was true for every other candidate in the survey including Senator Hillary Clinton (D), Senator John McCain (R), Senator Barack Obama (D), and former Senator John Edwards (D).
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Thirty-one percent (31%) said they'd definitely vote for Giuliani while 28% said they'd definitely vote against. Both those numbers were the best earned by any candidate. A plurality, 35%, said it would depend upon who Giuliani is running against.
Clinton was very close to Giuliani on the positive side of the equation—30% say they'd definitely vote for the former First Lady. However, 46% say they'd definitely vote against her. Clinton leads in polling for the Democratic nomination but trails Giuliani in general election polling.
Obama's numbers are a little lower than Clinton's on both extremes—28% say they'd definitely vote for him, 37% say they'd definitely vote against.
The data provides especially discouraging news for McCain and Edwards. Only 21% would definitely vote for McCain while 34% would definitely vote against him. For Edwards, the numbers are 20% for and 39% against. However, the real bad news for both men comes from the results within their own party. For McCain, just 35% of Republicans would vote for him while 20% would vote against. Edwards' numbers among Democrats are similar—33% definitely for Edwards, 20% definitely against.
By way of contrast, 52% of Republicans would definitely vote for Giuliani. Only 8% would definitely vote against him.
With all the good news pouring in for Giuliani these days, it's wise to remember how early in the process we are--Howard Dean was the frontrunner for much of the run-up to Election 2004.
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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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