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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It?
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To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (201299)8/10/2017 11:29:26 AM
From: weatherguru4 Recommendations

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Use of the word "predictor" is completely wrong, even Dr. Kevin Trenberth says so (see quotes and link below). I am curious, if climate models are right, why is there no upper-tropospheric hot spot in the tropics?

"In fact there are no predictions by IPCC at all. And there never have been. ... Even if there were, the projections are based on model results that provide differences of the future climate relative to that today. None of the models used by IPCC are initialized to the observed state and none of the climate states in the models correspond even remotely to the current observed climate."
blogs.nature.com

That's my point. If a model can't properly convert potential energy to kinetic energy via low-frequency regimes, then heat just builds up. Program energy into the system via CO2, and heat builds up even more. Duh? Error compounds upon error.

If they even try to convect this energy (which is what happens naturally on so many low-frequency scales that we can't comprehend, especially with 30 and 60-year cycles in the ocean), then the heating goes away. That would ruin the money train. The only way to suppress convection over long-terms scales is to build an upper-tropospheric hot spot in the tropics in the models, but one does not exist in observations. Huge discrepancy! This shows that the heating of the last 30+ years is just surface related due to oceans warming plus urban heat island impacts.
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