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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis

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To: Real Man who wrote (20149)5/4/2009 2:28:51 AM
From: axial1 Recommendation   of 71405
 
The real question is, "Does monetary policy work?" The subset is "Will Bernanke's plan work?", discussed here: Message 25386515

There are two components to the current US (and therefore global) dilemma:
[1] Short term, crash avoidance policies, and winding them down.
[2] Long-term, economic "health" and debt: those were critical problems, even before this crisis.

The XE link is just one reporter's view of US monetary policy. Is it accurate?

frbsf.org

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Even now, they're arguing about '29. The reality: 80 years later, they still don't know.

frbsf.org

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Are there other weak economies and currencies? Yes. Could there be a run on the Pound? Yes. Yen? Yes. Deutsche Mark? Yes. USD? Yes. Which economy is strong? Which one is healthy? Which one is not in deficit?

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The immediate financial crisis appears to be passing. If it does pass, then crash avoidance techniques have worked. US crisis policy was the keystone of a global effort: "Nobody moves, nobody gets hurt." Other economic factors will be adjusted over a longer period. That's always the way. Buy time. Distribute the cost fractionally: voxeu.org

Who will bear the cost of economic failure including debt? Taxpayers. Always. That's the lesson of history. Will the US crash? I doubt it. Will it slowly deflate? Probably. For the rest of the world, that's preferable to a crash.

In 100 years, they'll still be arguing. Nobody knows. No matter what they say.

Jim
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