I was going to post this. Excellent Tweet, I came across it this morning.
Good analysis and goes along the lines of Willy Oam study / analysis of attrition warfare.
One of the features is that attrition warfare dissipates / bleeds out all energy that could e used as post war resistance. Anyone with any incentive to fight Russia has 3 year, and soon 4 year window to do it, and during this window, they pretty much all get killed.
Who will be left are people who never wanted to fight Russians, and they are NOT about to start a guerilla army, after annexations.
So all Bandera ideology inclined males in the country - end up dead in the attrition warfare, before the war ends.
I am not sure where i heard it, maybe Alexander Mercuris yesterday, who said that after the breakthrough North of Pokrovsk, Russia did not try to exploit the breakthrough for further penetration. Instead, waited for counter attack and ended up destroying many of the remaining Ukrainian Elite forces, who came to counter-attack. |
