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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 49.25+0.9%3:59 PM EST

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To: Jules B. Garfunkel who wrote (2047)7/3/1996 10:38:00 AM
From: Burt Masnick   of 186894
 
Jules - Apple sales are apparently way off of both last
years numbers and even downgraded sales projections. It
is possible that Apple is moving into a death spiral that
will feed on itself (Lower revenues => Decreased R&D =>
Mediocre new products => Lower revenues). Apple is losing
key developers and innovative talent. There are two
possibilities that could be long term good news for INTC.
The first is that Apple moves to a pentium base and ports
the unique Mac features by Software onto the Pentium platform.
Unlikely but a possibility for a company approaching a near
death experience. The second possibility is the crippling
of Apple so that it turns into a kind of third tier PC player
with an ever diminishing share of the market. This to me is
the most likely scenario. I certainly don't want to see INTC
advance over the grave of an admirable competitor, but in the
cold world of business it is hard for me to see a scenario where
Apple remains a major player (I don't know what to predict for the
Apple clones). Long term this could mean a 5-6% boost in INTC
chip and motherboard sales as the PCs not sold by Apple do
get sold by Compaq, Gateway, Dell, IBM, Micron, etc.

Any thoughts?
Burt
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