Jeff, RE:" I wouldn't be surprised to see higher PEs if the economy (hence market) continues to perform as it has in the past two years". Get a load of this: Tonight, in Lou Ruckeyser's Weekly business report on PBS: Elves where bullish +3, ( out to 3 months!! ).; One of the participants mentioned that this is not the longest Bull-Market. rather there was 20 year long bullmarket before World War 1 and after World War 2: These were world wide too, charachterized by GDP growth of~4%, low inflation and , interestingly, low taxes!1: SAME AS NOW!!! I think Ralph Capiello said that who is quite respectable. Lou and Ralph both castigated Greespan for his " exuberant Stockmarket" statement Dec '96., and saying that few people have recognized this bull market.:most have missed because they used old tools to interpret it.
Dow Jones newswire today stated that even though new, good, earnings reports were meager today, the market did not sell off; rather it traded lower because of lack of buying more than anything. I noted that high flying Dell took in the chin as people are beggining to get hold of this hot, overcooked potato. So I think Monday people will be looking for values,== SGI ! Investors Bus Daily Almanac, had the following wise statement for Wed July 23 : " If the models are telling you to sell, sell, sell, but only buyers are out there. don't be a jerk. Buy! William Silber, Ph.D. ( N.Y.U.), in Newsweek,1986. TA |