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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Madharry who wrote (20686)2/19/2005 10:38:37 AM
From: Paul Senior   of 78728
 
CRYP. Madharry (and others who might be interested), you might want to check latest Barron's for cover story on online poker. CRYP, apparently one of the few US publicly-traded firms in the sector - and one that can report earnings - is mentioned favorably. Of CRYP, Barron's says, " Given CryptoLogic's strong growth... and solid balance sheet with over $6 a share in net cash, the company seems like a reasonable bet on the online-gaming boom."

My opinion: "boom" might be a key word. At 27 x last year's earnings (per Barron's), and with no 10-year public history, I'd say the stock cannot be a Graham value. OTOH, IF the company can maintain it's juicy profit margins - i.e. IF the boom doesn't become bust and/or if new entrants to CRYP's business don't crimp CRYP's profits (margins), then imo, CRYP would be a value still and a buy at current p/e.
The 'ifs' scare me though; I'll not add shares, but I will stay a holder for now.
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