Introduction or Chapter 1
The last 5 or 6 weeks has probably changed your expectations for the future in a very real way. Some things are not going back to the way they were, but which things? What is going to matter going forward, is this the introduction or is it Chapter 1? What is very clear is that this is far from over.
There really are black and white pictures developing. The biggest problems humanity faces is the re-infection possibility. I don't want to be a pessimist, long term immunity (2 years +) would be a white outcome, less than 40 days of immunity would be a black outcome, both are possible right now. As scientists in different nations address the false positive scenarios our chances of a white picture are growing. A second wave will clear up any lingering doubts. The transmission of this virus seems to be unstoppable. With billions of us being careful and locked down in our homes it continues to ravage unabated. As places try to open this inside fighting is going to get vicious, when the virus wins, humanity loses. South Korea has the right regime but face it, this planet has produced exactly one of every country that now exists and South Korea got a long straw, technology, culture, community, they have the right stuff for this fight. Russia, Brazil have likely lost and the numbers there are going to go US. We have to stop losing this inside fight, we cannot win the war unless we take control here and the only way is testing and contact tracing, that is it, there simply is no other way. Forty days from now, we are all going to look back and say something like this "ENOUGH" . Variations of that will be heard everywhere. Meanwhile the pummeling continues unabated on the body politic internationally. Nation after nation getting bloodied, then hurt, then downed. Leaders of both Cold War superpowers, powerless, less than powerless, looking like cartoon caricatures as they desperately try to blame their inadequacies in this fight on the other guy, the spectators, someone else. In the next month the countries that will have or have a million cases or more are going to be clear. Certainly the US won't be alone on the leaderboard. The virus seems to run along the same path as wealth but on the underside rather than hidden in the shadows. It is coming to Russia now and Brazil is playing catch up but it really hasn't gotten going in India yet. Perhaps Brahmin will dispense and India will be spared but personally, I think the Brahman is going to very different than what is dispensed by the Brahmin. Forty days will reveal all the bones underneath the skin. Standing up and presenting weapons only seems like a good choice to those who have not been ravaged while hunkering down. The songs will change as the wailing grows. The wailing will grow. I am not saying this to be pessimistic or cruel or negative, it is an easy trend to spot, it is pragmatism.
I see no version of tomorrow that contains a recognizable yesterday, every tomorrow is coming with sacrifices and changes. If you have been thinking it is time to perhaps act as part of a group of people that are asking for a change in the way things work then maybe you should. We cannot shape the future with our individual action, we need to act collectively to defeat this virus and make tomorrow a place that is good for our children and grandchildren. We need to add seat belts to our international society so that individuals, corporations, religions and nations acting in their own self interest never come first again, no matter where they are or who they are. I do not want my grandchildren to be slaves. We need to act. |