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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Jurgis Bekepuris who wrote (21900)8/12/2005 10:28:34 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (2) of 78669
 
Jurgis Bekepuris. You might be very right.

Regarding: "Just don't be surprised if we get a dip to ~1K in S&P and similar dips in other indices."

I won't be surprised, but I will be crying. I hope not too much on this thread. It won't be a pretty sight.

I keep adding and adding and adding to my oil stock plays. If I posted every time I did this, this would become the de facto Paul Senior thread--- with people yipping at me to shut up already.

Somehow I've gotten off track. Instead of trying to be balanced and looking for bargains (however defined), I've largely (in a very unbalanced way) just gone along with the flow on these oil stocks. Of course, since there's no way for a normal person (me- in the old days) to really understand the innards of even simple companies (how much is hedged if anything now vs. future; how much are probable reserves vs. accounting reserves; for whose benefit are the companies being run - insiders with options vs. all stockholders; and who are these people running these companies - salesmen who suck up money for their drilling programs or business people with their own money on the line?, etc. etc. - I am VERY diversified across many subsectors and within those subsectors too.

------On following Buffett--------

I'm surprised and disappointed that we're not reading more of I-follow-Buffett-and-he-bought-oil-so-I-followed-him-and- bought-oil-too. Or something like, "Senior, if you just followed Buffett and bet on him, you wouldn't have to dissipate your psychic energy and diversify all over the place"

I can't be the only one around here still holding some PTR:

Message 18940288

finance.yahoo.com
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