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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: NOW who wrote (22052)	11/19/2004 6:13:56 PM
From: Henry Niman	of 110194

>>but we are much better at ventilator support than 1918....<< Actually, the situation today is much worse than 1918 because the virus is far more lethal. The case fatality rate is running at 70-80% in Asia. In 1918 it was much lower. That is why today's projections are using a 1% case fatality rate, which is well into the wishful thinking category. There is no evidence that today's 70% case fatality rate will drop to 1% just because the virus achieves efficient human to human transmission. The virus is quite sneaky recombinomics.com and reliance on Tamiflu or vaccines may help in the future, but right now the virus is holding all the wild cards. recombinomics.com

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