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Technology Stocks : Netro Corp - (NTRO)

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To: Mohan Marette who wrote ()9/14/1999 9:32:00 PM
From: Secret_Agent_Man   of 792
 
The week's other big number is August retail
sales, which will be released Tuesday. The
MarketWatch consensus calls for a gain of
0.8 percent and 0.4 percent excluding auto
sales. Retail sales rose 0.7 percent in July.

"All the anecdotal evidence says the
back-to-school sales were strong," Orr said.

Consumers haven't even
noticed that the Fed raised rates
twice in an effort to slow the
economy. Good luck!
Consumers are enjoying a
strong labor market, an
unworldly stock market and
low prices. Why should they
stop spending?

Even though interest rates are
one percentage point higher
now than they were in January,
home sales and construction
remain strong. The
MarketWatch consensus sees
housing starts slowing to a 1.63
million annual rate from 1.66
million. That's not much of a
slowdown.

Orr said homebuilders report
plenty of demand of new
homes, with lots of units ready
to go as soon as workers and materials can be
assembled on the site.

The weakest part of the economy --
manufacturing -- probably faltered a bit in
August. The MarketWatch consensus says
industrial production rose just 0.1 percent
after climbing 0.7 percent in July. The Fed's
number is based largely on the payroll
numbers from the Labor Department, which
showed another erosion of factory jobs and
hours worked.

Orr said the Labor Department numbers are
"very suspicious." Other indicators are
showing a slow, steady recovery in
manufacturing, so weakness in the industrial
production numbers will probably be ignored
by the markets.

The CPI is the last big economic number
that'll be released before the Oct. 5 meeting
of the Federal Open Market Committee.
Most economists don't think the Fed will
raise rates at that time.

"They're planning on waiting until Nov. 16
to see if what they've done before is enough,"
Orr said. Other economists surveyed by
MarketWatch seem agree: Sentiment is
running 9-to-1 against a rate hike.

cbs.marketwatch.com
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