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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 303.84+1.3%Dec 22 4:00 PM EST

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To: The Ox who wrote (22872)4/19/2005 8:24:59 PM
From: etchmeister   of 95626
 
Yet the peak wasn't nearly as strong as previous upturns.
The peak in 2004 wasn't as "pointy" as previous peaks - it consisted of several months;
on the opposite the bottom appears to be more shallow - IMHO all signs that even in case of SCE the magnitude of the ups and downs is getting reduced.


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To directly answer your question, no, the rebound does not have to happen in 2006 but currently most indicators that I have looked at point to the rebound starting in 2 to 4 quarters. Can this be pushed out? Sure. However, most estimates for individual companies show expectations of 10% plus revenue growth for 2006 vs 2005 but much of this is back end loaded for the 2nd half of 2006.

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