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Politics : I Will Continue to Continue, to Pretend....

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To: Sully- who wrote (22430)	10/19/2006 7:04:29 PM
From: Sully-	of 35834

Not voting due to polls may be the surest way to lose. A Real Perspective On Polling Riehl World View Two days before the 2002 mid-term elections, Zogby vs the result. Mondale was cruising by 5 in Minnesota Minnesota Mondale 50 Colman 45 Too bad he lost by 3 points. Mondale 47 Colman 50 Strickland was a lock by 9 in Colorado Colorado Strickland 53 Allard 44 Just two days and a 16 point swing later he lost by 5. Strickland 46 Allard 51 Max Cleland, what can I say? Result in bold. Are you noticing a pattern here? Georgia Zogby Actual Cleland 49 46 Chamblis 49 53 My, my .. the beat goes on. Texas Zogby Actual Kirk 48 43.3 Coryn 49 55.3 Many are familiar with Thune, who didn't lose by the 5 Zogby projected. How many people stayed home on the margin? Your guess. South Dakota Zogby Actual Johnson 52 49.6 Thune 47 49.5 Zogby had Lautenberg right in NJ, but under-polled Forester by 6 points. New Jersey Zogby Actual Lautenburg 54 54 Forester 38 44 Carnahan by 1 but 2 more popped up for Talent and he won. The typos are via Kos. Missouri Zogby Actual Carnhan 49 49 Tallent 48 50 And going back to Oct. 22, these pearls of wisdom from DailyKos via Charlie Cook: <<< Cook notes that Dems have a good shot at taking GOP seats in Arkansas, New Hampshire and Colorado, while the race in North Carolina has become unexpectedly competitive... Consider, perhaps the surest takeover bet is Arkansas, a GOP seat. And if the GOP loses New Hampshire, which I believe is likely, then forget it. There's no way the GOP can take the Senate. >>> Too bad Dems lost all of the above by 5 - 10 points. MSNBC says Big Dem Wins Likely (link below). Now where have I seen that before? Not voting due to polls may be the surest way to lose. Update: The Dems are certainly working to pump up their liberal base. If the Republicans don't, conservatives, among others, will lose. riehlworldview.com dailykos.net fec.gov dailykos.net fec.gov msnbc.msn.com stoptheaclu.com

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