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Pastimes : Let's Talk About Our Feelings!!!
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To: MSB who wrote (24737)8/31/1998 12:37:00 PM
From: Jacques Chitte   of 108807
 
My gut take on this is "hot air". Even at high end meteoroid densities, the setellite cross section is so low that if three are knocked out we're operating at the "unlikely" high side of the probability curve. I think this is like the Y2K hysteria of a year ago. Sure, there is a problem. But it is diferent than the apocalyptic prophets of doom describe. And it will be cleaned up the old-fashioned way - by hand.
So - imho we will have a dazzling display of meteors, and a better-than-even chance that no satellites will be taken out. At all.

Of course, just watch me be wrong. But one thing I guarantee - we won't have say half our satellites blaste out.
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