Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Friday, May 02, 2008
news.yahoo.com
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows John McCain now leads Barack Obama 48% to 42%. On Monday, immediately before the press conference held by Obama’s former Pastor, Jeremiah Wright, the candidates were tied at 46%. New Rasmussen Reports polling released today shows that just 32% of voters believe Obama was surprised by Wright’s comments. Most say it’s at least somewhat likely that Obama shares some of Wright’s controversial views.
Against Hillary Clinton, McCain now attracts 45% of the vote while Clinton earns 44%. On the morning of Wright’s press conference, Obama did three points better than Clinton against McCain (see recent daily results). Now, Clinton outperforms Obama by five for a swing of eight points in just four days.
In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, it’s Clinton 46% Obama 44%. That’s the second straight day that Clinton has held a statistically insignificant two-point edge over Obama. However, that represents a ten-point swing since Wright’s press conference. Before Wright appeared at the National Press Club, Obama led Clinton by eight points (see recent Democratic Nomination results). Tracking results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time
Today at 11:00 a.m. Eastern, Rasmussen Reports will release new polling data for the North Carolina Presidential Primary. In Indiana, Clinton leads Obama by five points. Rasmussen Markets data shows Obama continues to be the favorite for the Democratic nomination, but expectations have slipped significantly in recent days. Currently, the frontrunner is given a 74.8% chance of winning.
Among all voters nationwide, McCain is viewed favorably by 52% and unfavorably by 44%. (see recent daily favorable ratings). Obama is now viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 48%. For Clinton, the reviews are 46% favorable, 52% unfavorable.
During the month of April, the President’s Job Approval rating fell to the lowest level ever recorded by Rasmussen Reports.
New polling in New Hampshire shows that Clinton has gained ground on McCain in the Granite State while Obama is heading in the opposite direction. The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes. The GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are added, the Democrats lead 260 to 240 (see summary of recent state-by-state results). Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Democrats a 60.4% chance of winning in November.
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