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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks

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To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (2490)2/8/1998 2:32:00 PM
From: Rajiv  Read Replies (1) of 18691
 
Roger and all,

Take a look at MMCN.

MMCN makes network processors. Cisco is a major customer.
Sales to Japanese customers (Hitachi and Mitsui) accounts
for 30+% of revenues.

MMCN is not a development stage company (at least it does
not claim to be one ) - it has been making miniscule profits
for quite some time.

Last quarter revenues were 7.6 million
Net income : $639k ( more than half of which was
contributed by interest income from the money
invested from the IPO proceeds).
eps : $0.02

For the year 1997.
eps of $0.04 on revenues of 22 million.

The market cap is astronomical compared to its revenues.
It has 28+ million shares outstanding (excluding 5+
million exercisable options). At the current price
of 19 its p/s ratio is 25+.

Even if it manages to grow at a high rate, it is
overvalued by several orders of magnitude.

25 million shares are in the lockup period which ends
in the last week of April. The current float is 4
million shares. This should create a lot of selling
pressure (its daily volume is not very high - around
100k).

Disclaimer : I am obviously short MMCN

Any comments?

Regards
Rajiv
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