Not likely. A 31% 'undecided' in a poll without names (i.e. House races in total) lacks scientific validity. The public polls are an ATTEMPT to be scientific, but they lack all possible scientific method: The questions are colored by the (usually liberal) beliefs of the poll-writer, skewing the results unintentionally. Besides just the philosophy of the poll writer is the unmentioned pressure of selling a poll to a liberal media in the event it's way off. Give them a poll with liberal results and they'll still hire you again if it's significantly wrong. Give them one with conservative results, and if its wrong, they'll never call again.
Zogby was making good polls when he was obscure. Maybe he was just lucky, maybe not. But at that time the typical liberal polls had become institutionalized, and were sorely lacking. Zogby has now seen the Big Time, and he has become as bastardized as Gallup and the rest.
Reminds me of the most obscene comment about Impeachment, from Larry King, who demanded of a Republican Senator months before the final fix, "If you can't count 67 votes, why go on with it!?!" In Larry Kings's left wing dream world, the polls would be taken until 3 out of 5 showed liberal results. Then the liberals would be installed in office, and the vote would become "unnecessary". |
