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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Spekulatius who wrote (23518)11/2/2006 12:32:33 AM
From: Spekulatius  Read Replies (1) of 78744
 
Anybody checked in the bankrupty plays OC and AWI. both are asbestos related bankrupties and recently emerged. the filings make an interesting read.

OC - the way i see it. 134.1M shares are going to be issued. 2B$ in debt. Morgan had a backstop @30$ on 70M shares for 100M$ so they are currently under water. Total EV value 134.1*28$+2B$=5.75B$. Revenues: 6.3B$, 800M$ EBITDA, 250M$ net income.
sec.gov
There is a chance that 28M shares will not be issued contingent upon Fair act legislation> i do not know how likely this is, so i put in the mex. amount of shares for valuation purposes.

AWI - 56.4M shares. 1.12B$ debt. EV value 56.4*37$+1.12B$=3.19B$. Revenues 3.6B$, 100M$ net earnings.

In both cases, valuation looks fairly rich to me. Have i overlooked something? Post bankrupty stocks are supposed to be cheap !?
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