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Non-Tech : Another Investment forum
QQQ 617.17-0.3%4:00 PM EST

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From: Brumar8912/13/2012 11:37:24 AM
2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) of 340
 
Barron's publishes a Roundtable of discussions and stock picks shortly after the beginning of each year. Most such stuff is of little value. But there's a guy named Felix Zulauf who has had a very good run of results. A CAGR of returns of 25.4% over 10 years with NO down years. No negative returns in 2002 or 2008. Worth noticing.









He is a Swiss hedge fund guy. He has a blog ... everyone does now, I guess:

felixzulaufblog.blogspot.com

Whoa, a superbear. I'm not going to sell all my stocks like he advises but I think I will be moving some to gold.

".. from now on buying the dips [in the price of gold] is the right strategy because I think we have actually entered the next cyclical bull market within the secular bull run that we are still in. He also has a pretty ugly outlook for stocks: “I think over the next two years or so we will probably see 1,000 in the S&P again (a decline of more than 30%).”

On a political note, he called the election for Obama, though reluctantly.

If you're right that President Obama will be re-elected, what are the implications for taxes and spending cuts in the U.S.?

I hope Governor Romney wins, but I fear that Obama will be the victor. Then, much will depend on the composition of Congress. In any case, the so-called fiscal cliff won't be as high as many fear. Raising taxes and cutting spending wouldn't reduce GDP [gross domestic product] by 4.5 percentage points, but something closer to 1.5 percentage points. Still, the combination could slow the economy next year.


Just checked something - the return on his 2012 rec's through 12/6 was -3.2% ... so he may have his first negative return year in a decade.

blog.pundittracker.com
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