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Technology Stocks : C-Cube
CUBE 36.64-0.5%Dec 5 9:30 AM EST

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To: J Fieb who wrote (25548)11/21/1997 9:44:00 AM
From: J Fieb   of 50808
 
From the same Issue, I found some value in Elias Moosa's
piece, Market Cycles, Timing is Everything.....

upside.com

......New Technology Cycles

Unlike capacity cycles, new technology cycles happen frequently and are
easier to identify. They can kick up the octane levels on the rising
edge of any of the other cycles, but they can also be unforgiving to
those left with yesterday's technology.

Given their explosive nature, new technology cycles can be particularly
fruitful for well-informed investors. The penetration of new
technologies within a large and growing installed base follows
relatively clean "S-curve" patterns. Technology upgrade cycles are
easier to anticipate and profit from than capacity cycles, which can
become a game of chicken for investors.

The massive PC industry, with hundreds of millions of machines
worldwide, is a fertile platform for deploying new technology. Wireless
phone markets and networking hardware markets also contribute to a
growing pool of installed technology bases. During the past few years,
we've seen several instances of technology upgrade cycles in the PC
industry.
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