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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy?

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To: DJBEINO who wrote (25584)2/24/1999 5:11:00 PM
From: Spartex  Read Replies (2) of 42771
 
To be sure, Microsoft's fortunes aren't plummeting. The
company just posted a sizzling 38% increase in revenues
and a 74% hike in earnings for the quarter ended Dec.
31. But signs of a slowdown in the server arena are
unmistakable. Microsoft CFO Gregory Maffei predicted
last month that Windows server sales growth will decline
this quarter to mid-20%--down from 34% in the
preceding quarter--due in part to stiffer competition from
Novell Inc. (NOVL) and the Win2000 delay.

Novell is giddy with its newfound success. For a couple
of years it had been on the critical list. But Novell beat
Microsoft to the punch with the September delivery of
its latest network operating software, NetWare 5. And
for the first time in two years, it reported double-digit
revenue growth in its 1998 fourth fiscal quarter. Says
Christopher M. Stone, Novell's senior vice-president for
corporate strategy: ''There has been so much hype about
NT, but people are starting to figure out that the emperor
has no clothes.''

Or perhaps, the suit is still at the tailor's. Rivals are
celebrating, but this shindig may not last long. President
Steven A. Ballmer is planning a reorganization that will
align product groups with customer segments--so
Microsoft delivers the goods buyers really want. He is
trying to woo back former Windows czar Brad
Silverberg, known for getting products to the finish line.
And Ballmer is crafting a new E-commerce initiative.
''Microsoft does best when it has competitive threats,''
says analyst Christopher Galvin of Hambrecht & Quist.

Microsoft's next big growth spurt won't start, however,
until Win2000 ships. The company aims to release its
third test version on April 21 but won't say when the
extravaganza will ship. Analysts predict a truly
dependable version won't be out until next year. Sun's
McNealy jokingly calls it Microsoft's ''W2K problem.''

businessweek.com
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