Dipy,
First, the article is from "The Hindu", dated May 19, 1998.
Thanks.
And the connection I was trying to make is that once the economy is in a downward spiral, the RIBs would turn out to be not as safe as some people think.
Of course. The Indian economy is not in as good a shape as the US economy. Political uncertainty means one do not know who will be ruling five years hence. While it is true, as Ratan said, that India hasn't defaulted on its debts so far, the wrong economic conditions combined with the wrong kind of political leadership can create some problems.
Also, where did you see the information that the RBI has cut interest rates recently?
That was my recollection. On investigation, the last cut was at the end of April, which is recent, but before "the crisis" developed. However, they haven't increased interest rates, and there were cuts in March also. So RBI has been loosening the money supply.
And how are they propping up the rupee against the dollar? If they are not dumping dollars from their forex reserves, they must be raising short-term interest rates (probably they are doing a bit of both).
It is no secret they have been depleting the forex reserves to protect the rupee. It was $29.5b on April 17th, 1998. $26.6b on August 14th 1998.
All statistical figures in this message are from the RBI itself, at reservebank.com |