NVLS is not falling because people have hope that their will be a recovery soon. NVLS has a P/E around 22 and a PEG of 1.26. Their earnings growth next year is supposed to be 17.6% and the next 5 years 25%. Recent earnings were 56 cents, 62 cents, 76 cents, and 62 cents. For this quarter they are predicting 39 cents, next quarter 25 cents, this year 1.48 and next year 1.74. (So for next year, avg would be 43.5 cents a quarter). This looks like negative growth to me, and I don't see too much upside in the stock with these figures or the sector. With these numbers, NVLS could trade sideways for the next 1-2 years and be worth it's P/E. I don't see too much downside either, so whatever price people will set it at, will be random and based on pure psychology only. |