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Biotech / Medical : Chromatics Color Sciences (CCSI)--Non-Flaming Discussion
CCSI 29.32+4.6%Oct 31 9:30 AM EDT

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To: Stephen Kahn who wrote (25)5/12/1998 6:05:00 PM
From: Ron Harvey   of 44
 
The stock bounced back smartly today from a very brief foray into the high 12's, so I bought back in sooner than I'd expected after selling at 17 on 5/4. While I still have some ammunition in reserve should the stock drift down again (or maybe even goes up), the trading, at least for the short term, looks like it's heading north. I figure that a deal announcement should be reasonably close at hand. And even if the deal turns out to be disappointing after it's digested by investors, it'll still fuel a strong short-term move because it'll be promoted as being wonderful. (You don't hire a more expensive intl. PR firm to proclaim that you've just made a mediocre arrangement.) Naturally, if I feel confident that the stock will move up on a weak deal, I'm even more sanguine that an impressive partnership will boost it on a sustainable basis. The shorts can be expected to yowl no matter what happens, so they'll be discounted, even if they happen to be right should the deal be a weak one. . . at least initially. I've made money on several trades of CCSI (one a jaw dropper) in the past six months or so, and I believe that another opportunity is unfolding now. (The longs who created from their imaginations a scenario of the deal announcement occurring just before, during, or immediately after the pediatricians' shindig provide a stock-trading lesson in overzealousness. There's a fine line between hope and self-delusion. . . and not just with stocks, of course.)
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