Recession touches China
By Thomas P.M. Barnett
ARTICLE: Hu Sees China Losing Its Competitive Edge, By Maureen Fan, Washington Post, December 1, 2008; Page A12
You see the pattern: only the disconnected see any "win" in a global recession.
Somalia--same as it ever was
By Thomas P.M. Barnett
ARTICLE: "Somalia's Pirates Flourish in a Lawless Nation," by Jeffrey Gettleman, New York Times, 31 October 2008. MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA: "The Horn of Africa: The tragedy of the decade? Millions of people in dire need of help," The Economist, 1 November 2008.
Piracy (theft, kidnapping and general banditry) emerges as the one industry booming in pretend state Somalia, which the U.S. clearly did not fix in either of its recent interventions ("Black Hawk Down" in early-mid 1990s and the "recent kinetics in southern Somalia"). Piracy is expected to yield profits in the range of $50m this year--all tax free of course. This year so far abut 75 ships taken down. As start-up industries go, this one is fab for the locals: all you need is a skiff and three lightly armed guys and you've got a business plan. Local women now brag openly about dating pirates. So who shows up to work this new industry? Core, both old (NATO, US) and new (India, Russia). Meanwhile, of course, Somalia and neighboring Ethiopia see a resurgence of the famine conditions that caught everyone's attention back in the mid-1980s. I'm thinking another Live Aid with Johnny Depp MC'ing in full Jack Sparrow regalia. Global warming can't be helping with this continuing drought that now puts about 20m at dire risk in a region spread across Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya and Uganda. Already aid workers are seeing kids start to die off in numbers from malnutrition-related illnesses and infections. See how well the Powell Doctrine worked! thomaspmbarnett.com |
