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Biotech / Medical : Agouron Pharmaceuticals (AGPH)

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To: JOHN W. who wrote (2812)11/16/1997 11:37:00 AM
From: Andreas Helke   of 6136
 
John, how do you interpret the figure in Agourons 1997 annual report that shows that after only 48 weeks more than 10% of the patients have already failed to respond to Viracept?
If one looks a little bit closer it seems that the majority of failures occur in the first half year. It may bee that the failure rate then goes down to 2-3% per year. But even with those low rates you would have failure in most of the patients after 50 years. There is of course a good chance that a new effective therapy will be developed if the patients survive long enough due to PI and nucleosides combination therapy.

Andreas
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