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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Jyoti sharma who wrote (2861)12/22/1997 11:01:00 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) of 78669
 
Jyoti Sharma: re copper stocks. I don't believe anyone can predict accurately copper prices next year. Analysts have recently downgraded at least two of these stocks - AR and CYM, and one fellow is predicting a further fall in stock prices about 10-20% from current levels I believe. Nevertheless, current stock valuations discount a lot of bad that will or could happen. I bought CYM today- I like that they are diversified (with coal), that they are paying off debt, and that they pay a good dividend - which I'm expecting will be cut. AR would also seem to be a good bet (in some ways --a better bet -g-) in which to start building a position. As you say, AR is at a multiyear low --in a couple of years stock will (or could or should -g-) be 50% higher. I don't see a deflationary environment that would really impair the long term viability of these companies. Paul Senior
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