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Biotech / Medical : Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MLNM)

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To: tuck who wrote (2866)6/5/2007 12:52:23 PM
From: tom pope   of 3044
 
ML:

Seeking new angles for
Velcade

Wrapping up ASCO with subcu Velcade and doxil combo data
Two final presentations of note at ASCO included data from a small study
comparing subcutaneous to intravenous administration of Velcade, which we find
intriguing, and the phase III data that recently lead to the expansion of Velcade’s
label to include combination use with Doxil in relapsed/refractory multiple
myeloma. Maintain estimates and Neutral.

Small study compares subcutaneous to I.V. Velcade
Data was presented from a 24-patient randomized trial comparing subcutaneous
with intravenous administration of Velcade at 1.3 mg/m2 twice weekly. Patients
received a median of 5 cycles in both arms and response rates were the same for
the two groups at 42%. While PK/PD data showed the Cmax (maximum plasma
concentration) higher in the subcu arm, the bioavailability (AUC, area under the
curve) was comparable. After speaking with the company and investigators at
ASCO, it is unclear whether subcutaneous administration will ultimately show
comparable clinical benefit, but Millennium plans to confer with the FDA and
quickly develop plans for a larger trial. We view the potential prospect of a more
patient friendly subcu Velcade attractive, though the potential impact on physician
practices and economics will also have to be considered. [abstract #8046]

Velcade + Doxil phase III data with superior TTP presented
Velcade’s label was recently expanded to include use in combination with Doxil (a
pegylated liposomal formulation of doxorubicin), which is sold by Ortho Biotech
(Millennium’s co-promote partner), for the treatment of relapsed/refractory multiple
myeloma. The phase III data leading to the expanded label was presented at
ASCO and showed a 43% improvement in TTP (time to progression), 9.3 months
for Velcade + Doxil vs. 6.5 months for Velcade alone. Having another approved
regimen for Velcade and extra incentive for Ortho Biotech in the co-marketing
arrangement are positive developments, but whether they impact sales remains to
be seen and we maintained our models on the label expansion. [abstract #8002].
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